1) BOS SU vs. DEN, MIA SU vs. WAS, LAL SU @ POR (+191)
The Nuggets are on the 2nd night of a back-to-back road trip, and Boston has played great at home. The Wizards, while a top 5 offense, would be run by by the Heat. The Lakers have looked great, and look to be motivated to prove folks wrong that they’re pretenders based on the first quarter of the season.
2) DAL -9 @ NO (-110)
The Mavericks ended with an almost 50 point victory after a 40-14 third quarter. This wasn’t a matter of Luka-heroics, rather the entirety of the Mavs roster was able to take over, including a perfect shooting game for Jalen Brunson. The early start time likely hurt the traveling Pelicans as well.
1) LAL -.5 @ OKC, BOS +9.5 @ DEN (-110)
The Thunder put up much more of a fight than expected against the Lakers, who settled for mid range shots for much of the night. At the end of the night, talent prevailed, and the Lakers won (and thanks to the tease, covered).
I liked what I saw from the Celtics against the Clippers, but nobody could plan for Kemba exiting the game in the way he did. The Celtics were able to rally after going down 19 thanks to defense and some hot shooting. I hope Kemba is healthy and able to return soon, and I like the Celtics on the road as they have the type of team that never seems out of a game.
1) MIL -1 @ IND, DAL +.5 vs. TOR (-110)
With Brogdon being out I wasn’t sure how the Pacers scored enough to keep pace (pun intended) with Gannis and the Bucks. Gannis was able to take command and overpower an undermanned Pacers team.
The Mavericks and Raptors went back and forth, fluctuating between double digits leads on both sides. Porzingis finally started to play up to his contract, and the bench was able to do just enough to keep the Raptors at bay. A bad night from Siakim also helped as the scoring slack was picked up by Norman Powell who was streaky at best.
Taking the Raptors and Mavericks to win seemed like the best bet of Saturday’s NBA slate.
1) SF SU @ AZ, MIA SU @ ATL, LAC SU @ SAS, NAS SU vs. CAL (+317)
- SF winning against Arizona for the first time in years got close, but ultimately pulled through.
- Between the Kawhi revenge game and the Heat surging/Trae limping out the NBA portion of this parlay easily pulled through.
- The Flames came back from 1-4 to win 6-5 with 1.4 seconds remaining in OT. A very flukey way to lose this one.
Verdict: Would take this one again.
2) SAS SU @ GSW, BOS SU vs. NYK, UTA SU @ SAC (+140)
- Mike Conley still needs some time to gel, and the Kings had a certain desperation to their game after losing 5 straight.
- The Spurs coaching is too much for the Dubs “talent” to overcome.
- Celtics made it much closer than predicted, but the better team prevailed.
Verdict: Don’t underestimate chemistry and desperation.
3) DEN -4 @ ORL (-105)
Verdict: Jokic is out of shape, but the Magic are streaky. Denver will improve as the season goes on, but I predict a lot of close games for the next month or so.
4) CHA -2.5 @ GSW 1st Half (-115)
Verdict: Don’t trust the Hornets under any circumstance.
1) POR -1.5 @ SAC (-110)
- Bagley out last minute was a last minute lean towards the Blazers.
- Kings need more time to gel before their fast paced style can really flourish.
- Dame always plays well in his homestate.
Verdict: The Kings need a larger line.
2) MIL -5.5 vs. MIA, BOS -0.5 @ NYK, IND -0.5 @ CLE (+150)
- The Bucks choked down the stretch.
- Spo will always run a tight ship regardless of personnel.
- The Knicks are bad, and will continue to be bad. #SelltheTeam.
- The Pacers need time to build chemistry, and are definitely coming off an offseason high.
Verdict: Got too bold, too early.