Bet Review (Week 6, 2019)

1) NE -17 vs. NYG (-110)

Lessons Learned:

  • New England against bad teams is very safe.
  • The first quarter is a facade.

Verdict: Ride the Pats against bad teams.

2) JAX +4.5 vs. NO, TEN +7.5 @ DEN (-110)

Lessons Learned;

  • Despite Ramsey returning, this game was a display of the Jags offensive floor (it is low).
  • I thought home field + points would be enough, but the Jags thought no.
  • I cannot believe I trusted Mariota.

Verdict: Dammit Jags, Minshew has to be better than 6 points. Don’t look to games with two bad teams.

3) KC -4 vs. HOU, Over 55 (+264)

  • Lessons Learned:
    • Game was trending well until Mahomes ankle was tweaked.
      KC run defense is abhorrent.
      Houston offense is starting to click and the bad defense helped a ton.
      Scoring stalled near the end due to uncharacteristic turnovers.

    Verdict: Chiefs aren’t as steady to win with Mahomes hobbled, but the over against a fast paced offense seems like a safe bet.

    4) PHI +9 @ MIN, SEA +4.5 @ CLE (-110)

    Lessons Learned:

    • CLE is as bad as advertised last week. SEA likes to make it exciting, but it never felt like they were out of control.
    • Is Philly good? Are the Vikings bad? Was this home field advantage, or is the Eagles offense not good? Questions still remain.

    Verdict: Philly can’t be trusted, the Browns are unpredictable, but the Seahawks may be the genuine article.

    5) SF +3 @ LAR (+100)

    Lessons Learned:

    • Jared Goff has the worst Superbowl hangover, or maybe it’s Gurley.
    • 49ers defense is the real strength as the offense can be spotty (young skill players felt here).
    • Rams home field advantage doesn’t feel like they just went to the Superbowl.

    Verdict: Niners seem to hit the under, but can also win.

    Begin: Moments that Matter

    A strong media experience is often defined by a few key moments that significantly contribute to the media being viewed. In lieu of a complete assessment, I’ll also be recording my thoughts on the moments that mattered most to me in any given experience, and why. These won’t always be positive, as often times the moment that matters most can be one that most takes one out of an experience, while other times, it will be what defines the experience.