Sports Bet Review (NFL Week 9, 2020)

  1. W – NYG +3 @ WAS (-110)
    The logic of “take the points” a resounding success as this was indeed a defensive-focused wet noodle fight. Poorly timed turnovers impacted both of these teams. I think the infusion of Alex Smith midway through this game gave Washington an unexpected boost. However, the luster quickly wore off, and a couple interceptions from him late in the game sealed this bet.
  2. L – SEA -3 @ BUF (+100)
    Over indexed on the Seahawks, this proved costly over two bets. Seattle is 8-1-1 ATS when traveling to the east coast, and the Bills have looked dreadful the past few weeks. However, they played up to the Seahawks and comfortably cruised through the game.
  3. W – MIN-3 vs. DET (-120)
    Dalvin Cook is just too good. Detroit had no answers, and Kenny Golladay’s absence could be felt across the Lions offense. This Vikings team is effective as long as Cook is in the lineup. I expect their lines to increase in the coming weeks.
  4. L – CHI +5.5 @ TEN (-110)
    There is nothing more painful to watch in the NFL than the Bears offense. The ineptitude of the rushing game is astounding, I’ve never seen a back do less with more than David Montgomery. The Titans didn’t look like world beaters against the Bears defense, but Nick Foles just couldn’t propel drives, leading to a convincing loss.
  5. L – KC -4.5 vs. CAR / TEN+.5 vs. CHI (-110)
    The Titans covered easily, and the Chiefs looked primed to follow suit. However, a late game surge from the Panthers in a valiant comeback attempt and a great final defensive stand from Carolina on the final drive, equaled a close failure to cover. CMC is back, and he hasn’t missed a beat.
  6. L – AZ -6 vs. MIA (-105)
    I guess Tua is the real deal. The Miami defense did just enough to stifle a last minute surge from the Cardinals, and covered the bet.
  7. L – PIT-14 @ DAL (-105)
    This was deep into the chase. There were so many warning signs about this one – the look past game, new quarterback boost, etc. A silly loss that could’ve been prevented if I only took a moment to think about it instead of embracing the chase. Speaking of chasing…
  8. WNO +11.5 @ TB / HOU-.5 @ JAX (-110)
    Easy win as the Saints rolled and the Texans grind one out against the Jags.
  9. LBAL +7 @ IND / NO @ TB +1.5 (-110)
    Chasing is very bad.
  10. LTom Brady to Pass Over 2.5 TDs (+160, Half Unit)
    Chasing is very bad.
  11. LTom Brady to Pass Over 3.5 TDs (+450, Half Unit)
    Chasing is very bad.
  12. L – Antonio Brown to Receive Over 39.5 Yards (-115, Half Unit)
    Chasing is very bad.
  13. L – Rob Gronkowski to Score a Touchdown (+150, Half Unit)
    Chasing is very bad.
  14. L – Mike Evans to Score a Touchdown (+100, Half Unit)
    Do. Not. Chase.
    You’d think that I’d at least sprinkle my chase onto both sides. However, I truly thought the Bucs would win this game by three to six points with at least 30 points of scoring from each side. My narrative was basically the opposite of reality.
  15. L – SEA +3.5 @ BUF / NE -1 @ NYJ (-110)
    Seattle cooked this bet.

This week our record was 3-9.5, bringing us to a season total of  52.5-43-2. This week featured the sloppiest of chases and mistakes that I thought I had purged from my character. Onto Week Ten.

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