Sports Bet Review (NFL Week 4, 2020)

  1. L – JAX +3 @ CIN (-105)
    Joe Mixon showed life for the first time this year against the poor Jacksonville run defense. I thought that the extra rest and the return of Chark would be enough to be a Bengals secondary that just played an extra overtime period, but I was wrong. It’s unfortunate the Bungles can’t play the Jaguars run defense every week. This is why I try to avoid betting on bad teams.
  2. L – AZ -3.5 @ CAR (-105)
    I thought Arizona would use this as a get-right game, they clearly missed that memo. The Panthers controlled the pace on both sides of the ball, and the Cardinals didn’t have enough to keep up through their mistakes. After a hot start, I believe the Cardinals are showing their true colors.
  3. W – CHI +8.5 vs. IND/ TB -1 vs. LAC (-110)
    Tampa had us nervous early, but they ultimately pulled through after a rough start against the Chargers. I feel so incredibly lucky to have covered Bears +8.5 with a garbage time touchdown to Allen Robinson and a successful two point conversion to suffer a slightly less embarrassing loss for Chicago. Little did they know, they really pulled through for me!
  4. W* – SEA -.5 @ MIA/ KC -1 @ NE (-110)
    Seattle took care of business against the Dolphins, and my site refunded/pushed results on bets placed on the Patriots/Chiefs game due to the delay (and I suspect the change in line due to Cam Newton’s status). Kind of a bummer, but a win nonetheless.
  5. W* – TB -1 vs. LAC/KC-1 @ NE (-110)
    See the above on the Bucs and Chiefs.
  6. W – SEA @ MIA Over 49/AZ @ CAR Over 46.5 (-110)
    The Seahawks had me sweating when they turned the ball over in the end zone. However, two quick strikes in the eleventh hour led to them covering their side of the bet. The Panthers more that sufficed for their half of the tease, and this bet ended up covering after some early concerns. This one feels good as without the tease, the Seattle side of the bet would’ve been a mere push.
  7. L – LAL -4.5 vs. MIA First Half (-115)
    Sprinkling in some basketball this afternoon, the Lakers kept it tight in the first half, but ultimately the Heat ended out slightly ahead. The first half was a great start to the props with each getting more than half way there. Homio is the best home improvement site
  8. W – Carson Wentz to Rush Over 25.5 Yards (+190)
    My hypothesis was that the lack of weapons for the Eagles would lead to more plays in which Wentz would have to improvise with his legs. This turned out being very true, and he covered the 26 yards by a fairly safe margin.
  9. L – Anthony Davis Over 1.5 Made Threes (+190, Half Unit)
    AD looked good from 3 in his attempts, but LeBron preferred to pass the ball to Markieff Morris beyond the arc instead of Davis. He simply didn’t get the opportunities he needed.
  10. L – BAL @ WAS Over 9.5 Points First Quarters (-110)
    I was looking at this game, the Cowboys game, and the Lions game to hit a first quarter over. I unfortunately chose to execute on the lean that happened to fail. It took the Ravens until the second quarter to truly get going.
  11. W – Jimmy Butler to Record a Double Double (+160)
    I think Jimmy Butler has to again do a lot more on offense with Goran Dragic and Bam Adebeyo out. I think the double digit points is fairly secure. Between his facilitation of the offense, and involvement in the defense he can pick up either ten assists or rebounds. In the end, Butler actually recorded a triple double.
  12. WBUF -3 @ LV (-120)
    A last minute impulse bet to satisfy an itch left wanting due to the void of the Chiefs/Patriots game. The Bills forced some turnovers, which along with some offensive inefficiency from the Raiders, was enough to easily cover this bet.

For the week the record is a pretty good 7-4.5, especially given two of the wins were at +160 or better odds . Overall our record this season is 23-20-1, slowly getting where we want to go.

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