Bet Review (Week 4, 2019)

1) GB -4 vs. PHI (-105)

Lessons Learned:

  • Thursday night games are bad.
  • Green Bay had plenty of opportunities, lots of stalls in the red zone.
  • Philadelphia with receivers and using Jordan Howard appropriately are good to see.

Verdict: No more betting on Thursday night.

2) CLE @ BAL Over 45 (-110)

Lessons Learned:

  • The oddsmakers have no faith in Baker.
  • Baltimore can score, especially loves their TEs.

Verdict: Felt low, went with it. Success!

3) KC @ DET Over 55 (-110)

Lessons Learned:

  • KC can score and has a porous defense.
  • DET can score and has a porous defense.

Verdict: 55 looks like a lot, but each team can score, and the other will have to keep up.

4) KC -6.5 @ DET (-105)

Lessons Learned:

  • Mahomes in a dome hype got to me.
  • Detroit kept it close rather than my garbage time envisioned narrative.

Verdict: Doesn’t feel too bad, but will remember this for future DET wagers.

5/6) KC -0.5 @ DET, NE -0.5 @ BUF, TB @ LAR -2.5 (+150)

KC -0.5 @ DET, OAK @ IND -2.5, TB @ LAR -2.5 (+150)

Lessons Learned:

  • Trust the Pats, trust the Chiefs
  • T.Y. Hilton is very important.
  • The Rams are very streaky, especially on defense. Shouldn’t be this bad, still has the talent and playcalling on offense.
  • Tampa’s offense can score in bunches, Jameis can still be sloppy.

Verdict: Be weary of the Rams, trust until proven otherwise with the Chiefs and Pats.

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